World population
Estimated range: 8,115,089,672 – 8,446,317,822 (±2%)
- 8.2 billion Estimate · 2024 · UN Population Division
- 10.3 billion Projection · 2080 · UN Population Division
- 1.1 people per second, modelled
- Tier A (±2%) High confidence
- +0 Since you opened this page
Putting it in perspective
- Per second
- 1.1
- Per minute
- 66
- Per hour
- 3,959
- Per day
- 95,033
Counted in people.The UN projects the peak for the mid-2080s; the counter walks the straight line between the two points.
How this number is made
- Algorithm
- Stock anchor
Linear interpolation between dated benchmark stock points.
- Confidence Tier
-
Tier A High confidence
United Nations DESA global population model based on national censuses and vital registration systems.
- Error Band
- ±2%
Modelled range: 8,115,089,672 to 8,446,317,822
- Annualized Validation
- ≤ 3.0% tolerance passed
Pace: 34,710,940 people/yr vs cited reference 34,710,940 people/yr (exact match)
- Basis
- Estimate for 2024, Projection for 2080
- Record
- STO-72MET24C3G, STO-9P15XPQ860
- Source
- UN Population Division, World Population Prospects 2024: Summary of Results — Ten Key Messages (11 Jul 2024)
“The world’s population is expected to continue growing for another 50 or 60 years, reaching a peak of around 10.3 billion people in the mid-2080s, up from 8.2 billion in 2024.”
- Step 01
Take UN Population Division’s estimate for 2024: 8.2 billion, placed at the middle of that year.
- Step 02
Take its projection for 2080: 10.3 billion, placed the same way.
- Step 03
Draw a straight line between the two and read off its slope: about 1.1 people per second.
- Step 04
The number on screen is the point on that line at this second.
- On screen
- The result of those steps, recomputed four times a second in your browser. Nothing on this page is fetched live from the publisher.
- Why this can't be exact
- Population does not grow in a straight line; the line is exact only at the two published points. It runs at the 2024 pace until a figure for the current year is published. Digits beyond the first two or three are the model ticking, not extra precision.
Frequently asked questions
Which published figure is the counter based on?
UN Population Division’s figure for 2024: 8.2 billion people (an estimate). UN Population Division’s figure for 2080: 10.3 billion people (a projection).
How is the live number calculated?
Take UN Population Division’s estimate for 2024: 8.2 billion, placed at the middle of that year. Take its projection for 2080: 10.3 billion, placed the same way. Draw a straight line between the two and read off its slope: about 1.1 people per second. The number on screen is the point on that line at this second.
How accurate is the counter?
Population does not grow in a straight line; the line is exact only at the two published points. It runs at the 2024 pace until a figure for the current year is published. Digits beyond the first two or three are the model ticking, not extra precision.
Where does the data come from?
UN Population Division, “World Population Prospects 2024: Summary of Results — Ten Key Messages” (11 Jul 2024). The record quotes the publisher’s own sentence, and nothing on the page is fetched live from the publisher.
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<p><a href="https://statorigin.org/live/world-population">Data: UN Population Division via StatOrigin</a> · CC BY 4.0</p>Cite this counter
A modelled figure: cite the published number it comes from when you can.
StatOrigin. (2026). World population [Live counter, extrapolated from UN Population Division]. Retrieved 28 Oct 2026, from https://statorigin.org/live/world-population