Live estimate · Annual flow spread · how it's made Tier A confidence · ±3% error band

Cereals produced this year

Estimated range: 2,418,998,778 – 2,568,627,568 (±3%)

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Putting it in perspective

Per second
96
Per minute
5,758
Per hour
345,539
Per day
8,292,950
Still to come this year
533,113,588

Counted in tonnes.

How this number is made

Algorithm
Annual flow spread
Evenly distributed across 31,557,600 seconds (365.25 days) of the year.
Confidence Tier
Tier A High confidence
FAO Cereal Supply and Demand Brief combining agricultural ministry harvest declarations and satellite vegetative indices.
Error Band
±3%
Modelled range: 2,418,998,778 to 2,568,627,568
Annualized Validation
≤ 3.0% tolerance passed
Pace: 3,029,000,000 tonnes/yr vs cited reference 3,029,000,000 tonnes/yr (exact match)
Basis
Estimate for 2025
Record
STO-CSXEWT83Z7
Source
FAO, FAO Food Price Index rises in February for first time in five months
“The FAO brief also revised upwards its estimate for 2025 global cereal production to a record 3 029 million tonnes, a 5.6 percent increase from the previous year.”
  1. Step 01

    Take FAO’s figure for 2025: 3 029 million tonnes (an estimate).

  2. Step 02

    Spread it evenly over a year of 31,557,600 seconds (365.25 days): about 96 tonnes per second.

  3. Step 03

    Count from 00:00 UTC on 1 January of the current year, so the number resets every New Year.

On screen
The result of those steps, recomputed four times a second in your browser. Nothing on this page is fetched live from the publisher.
Why this can't be exact
Real activity is not spread evenly: it clusters in working hours, weekdays and seasons, so the count runs ahead or behind the true figure at any given moment. It runs at the 2025 pace until a figure for the current year is published. Digits beyond the first two or three are the model ticking, not extra precision.

Frequently asked questions

Which published figure is the counter based on?

FAO’s figure for 2025: 3 029 million tonnes (an estimate).

How is the live number calculated?

Take FAO’s figure for 2025: 3 029 million tonnes (an estimate). Spread it evenly over a year of 31,557,600 seconds (365.25 days): about 96 tonnes per second. Count from 00:00 UTC on 1 January of the current year, so the number resets every New Year.

How accurate is the counter?

Real activity is not spread evenly: it clusters in working hours, weekdays and seasons, so the count runs ahead or behind the true figure at any given moment. It runs at the 2025 pace until a figure for the current year is published. Digits beyond the first two or three are the model ticking, not extra precision.

Where does the data come from?

FAO, “FAO Food Price Index rises in February for first time in five months”. The record quotes the publisher’s own sentence, and nothing on the page is fetched live from the publisher.

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<iframe src="https://statorigin.org/embed/live/cereals-harvested" width="100%" height="220" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="Cereals produced this year, live counter" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p><a href="https://statorigin.org/live/cereals-harvested">Data: FAO via StatOrigin</a> · CC BY 4.0</p>
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Cite this counter

A modelled figure: cite the published number it comes from when you can.

StatOrigin. (2026). Cereals produced this year [Live counter, extrapolated from FAO]. Retrieved 28 Oct 2026, from https://statorigin.org/live/cereals-harvested

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